REFAYET ULLAH MIRDHA

Rising global protectionism and trade fragmentation could slow economic progress across the wider developing Asia-Pacific region, potentially delaying graduation from least developed country (LDC) status for countries, including Bangladesh, according to a new United Nations survey.

The 2026 edition of the Economic and Social Survey of Asia and the Pacific, published last week, said the average additional effective tariff rate imposed by the United States on developing economies in the region has climbed to around 15 percent from about 2.8 percent in 2024.

As a result, several smaller and least developed countries, including Bangladesh, Cambodia, the Lao People’s Democratic Republic and Myanmar, now face 19-40 percent tariffs on exports to the United States.

The report said that such barriers are likely to hold back economic development and delay LDC graduation.

Bangladesh, Nepal and Lao PDR are scheduled to graduate to developing country status on November 24 this year. However, Bangladesh and Nepal have applied to the UN for a three-year deferment until 2029.

The report noted that further tariff adjustments were announced after a United States Supreme Court ruling in February 2026. Policy changes remain highly unpredictable.

As of February this year, tariff rates faced by developing economies in Asia and the Pacific were still higher than in 2024.

The report by the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP) also said weaker export orders are likely to hit employment, wages and business investment in affected sectors, with knock-on effects for growth and government revenue.

The impact will extend beyond direct exports to the United States. Economies supplying raw materials, parts and components to regional value chains may also see demand fall, according to the report.