Key issues at stake in UK polls
AFP, London
Here are some key issues at stake in the UK general election today:
WILL JADED VOTERS TURN OUT?
The main opposition Labour party is widely predicted to win and has been determined not to take any risks, making for a lacklustre election campaign.
For the past two years, polling has suggested that Labour is 20 points ahead of the Conservatives, and no amount of campaigning has managed to shift the dial. But if that indicates a desire for change after 14 years of Tory government, there does not appear to be much enthusiasm for Labour’s plans.
Indeed, Labour has repeatedly warned that it does not have a “magic wand” to change the country overnight.
The apathy extends to both leaders, with 72 percent having an unfavourable opinion of Tory leader Rishi Sunak and 51 percent of Labour’s Keir Starmer, according to a YouGov poll this month.
That has prompted questions about whether voters will turn out in large numbers spurred on by the promise of change or remain at home jaded by years of chaos and no great love for party leaders.
LUCKY NUMBER EIGHT FOR FARAGE?
An unexpected addition to the campaign, Nigel Farage –- the Brexit figurehead who has now become the spokesperson of hard-right, anti-immigration views –- entered the race as the leader of Reform UK.
Despite a surge in the polls, the UK’s first-past-the-post system makes outright victory for the 60-year-old former European parliamentarian and his party unlikely.
If he succeeds at his eighth attempt to get a seat in parliament as the MP for Clacton-on-Sea in east England, Farage -- a Donald Trump ally -- will have even more visibility.
If he fails, his startup Reform UK party, currently polling around 19 percent, would still play a decisive role in the race between the Tories and Labour in several constituencies.
TORY WIPEOUT?
Several polls suggest the party of Winston Churchill, Margaret Thatcher and Boris Johnson will win fewer seats than the 141 it secured in 1906, in what would be the worst result since its creation in 1834.
Speculation has already started about who would succeed Rishi Sunak to lead the fragmented party. It remains to be seen how many big names will save their seats and what direction the party, which was centrist under David Cameron (2010-2015) and then drifted to the right, can take. In the event of Reform’s success, some Tories would not object to an alliance.
WEAKENED SCOTTISH NATIONALISTS?
Nothing seems to be going right for the Scottish National Party (SNP), which has dominated the devolved nation’s politics for the last 15 years.
The surprise resignation of first minister Nicola Sturgeon in 2023 destabilised the party. Her successor Humza Yousaf only lasted a year.
The left-wing party is still the target of a probe into its finances in which Sturgeon’s husband was implicated and does not have a viable strategy to deliver independence, a fight that was revived by Brexit but blocked by London.
First Minister John Swinney insists that winning in a majority of Scotland’s 59 constituencies would be a green light for him to launch fresh negotiations on another referendum with the new government in London.