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        <hl1 id="Headline" class="1" style="Headline" MainHead="true">
          <lang class="3" style="Headline" font="Patrika18" fontStyle="Bold" size="15">Fed faces tougher task in deciding whether to cut US rates
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          <lang class="3" style="Byline" font="Patrika18" fontStyle="Bold" size="15">Reuters, New York
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      <p style=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">US employers are hiring workers, but that is only making the Federal Reserve's job harder.
</lang>
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        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">On Friday, the Labor Department said nonfarm employers added 224,000 jobs last month - the most in five months, and not the kind of labor market that would normally cause the US central bank to cut interest rates.</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">Continuing jobs gains make Fed policymakers' debate over whether the economy needs stimulus even more difficult, setting up a possible standoff with markets at their July 30-31 meeting.</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">"They are in a bit of a bind,” said Karim Basta, chief economist at III Capital Management. "On the surface, the data, in my opinion, doesn't</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">really support an imminent cut, but markets are expecting it, and I do think there's a risk at this stage that they disappoint."</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">Meanwhile, the Fed is sending fairly optimistic economic signals after opening up the possibility of cuts last month, when they cited muted inflation pressures and an economic outlook clouded by a US trade war and slower global growth. In its semi-annual report to Congress, the Fed on Friday repeated its pledge to "act as appropriate" to sustain the economic expansion, with possible rate cuts in coming months, but they notably cited a strengthening jobs market and described recent weak inflation as due to "transitory influences."</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">Markets are overwhelmingly betting the</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">Fed's next move will be its first rate cut since the financial crisis a decade ago. President Donald Trump on Friday renewed demands for lower rates to strengthen the economy.</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who will testify before Congress on Wednesday and Thursday, has repeatedly said the Fed makes decisions independently from markets and the White House, but failing to deliver a cut could cause a stock and short-term bond selloff and hurt the economy.</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">US rates futures fell after the jobs report. Markets still see a rate cut this month as a nearcertainty, though they largely priced out chances for an aggressive half-percentage-point cut. FFQ9</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">"A rate cut in July is still all but inevitable,” said Luke Bartholomew, investment strategist for Aberdeen Standard Investments. “Employment growth remains a bright spot amid a fairly mixed bag of US data and yet markets have come to expect a cut now so (they) will fall out of bed if they don't get one."</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">The US has not resolved its trade dispute with China, but the two countries agreed last weekend to resume trade talks, putting off new tariffs.</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">There are still signs of a pullback. Businesses' spending on machines and other equipment is tepid, but employers keep hiring hotel maids, electricians, daycare providers and other workers. They are also paying them more. Average hourly earnings rose at a 3.1 percent-a-year pace. A May payroll gain of 72,000 now seems like a fluke rather than a sign of deterioration.</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">Those are not the prototypical conditions for a rate cut. Unemployment at 3.7 percent is near its lowest levels since 1969 and policymakers have traditionally seen job gains with low unemployment posing inflation risks.</lang>
      </p>
      <p class=".Bodylaser">
        <lang class="3" style=".Bodylaser" font="Patrika15 Ultra" fontStyle="Bold" size="130">Economists have grown less confident in models that forecast an inverse relationship between unemployment and inflation. The core personal consumption expenditures index is running at 1.6 percent a year, short of the Fed's 2 percent goal. In his press conference last month, Powell dropped references to weak inflation as "transitory."</lang>
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