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Fragile Argentina placing faith in IMF meeting

AFP, Buenos Aires
Argentina's Economy Minister Nicolas Dujovne heads to Washington on Monday to thrash out a hastily revised loan deal with the International Monetary Fund to help revive South America's second-largest economy.
Dujovne will need to outline a convincing austerity program to restore investor confidence that has plummeted along with the nation's currency, analysts say.
The minister said at the weekend his mission was to "continue to progress" talks with the IMF "on additional disbursements in 2019. ’
The talks scheduled for Tuesday follow a surprise announcement by President Mauricio Macri last week that Argentina would seek faster disbursement of its $50 billion credit line with the IMF.
That set off alarm bells among
investors, concerned Argentina will default on government borrowing, and triggered a run on the peso, which plunged 20 percent in two days before recovering slightly by Friday's close.
The currency has lost half its value against the dollar since January.
A first $15 billion tranche of the loan has largely gone to propping up the peso in recent months.
Argentina's Central Bank hiked its baseline interest rate to 60 percent last week in a further bid to stabilize the currency. Ratings agency S&P said Macri's government must now show clear steps to improve low investor confidence.
"Exchange rate volatility, as shown by recent pressure on the Argentine currency, could jeopardize the effective implementation of economic adjustment measures, absent further steps to boost investor confidence," it said in a statement on Friday.
S&P sees hope in Macri's austerity
measures however, which has seen his government slash energy subsidies and shed 95,000 public service jobs since January.
It suggested that IMF help, coupled with continued austerity measures, could help gradually reduce inflation, which despite being a government priority, is still running at more than 20 percent. The IMF said its goal was to "rapidly conclude these talks and submit the revised economic plan to the Executive Board."
Spokesman Gerry Rice said the Washington-based lender was "confident that the strong commitment and determination of the Argentine authorities will help the country overcome the current difficulties."
However, analysts at Capital Economics warned in a report that "investor confidence is fragile," adding that failure to deliver a convincing austerity plan on Monday would trigger further turmoil.