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Nigeria poised to become Africa's biggest economy

AFP, Lagos
NIGERIA could leap-frog South Africa to become Africa's biggest economy this weekend, when the results of a new way of calculating national output are announced.
Government statisticians will unveil the new figures on Sunday, with widespread expectations that their recalculations will catapult the continent's most populous nation into the top spot.
The figures, which will include new and fastdeveloping sectors such as telecoms and the local film industry, Nollywood, should give foreign investors a better picture of the country's economy.
Some predictions say the revision could see the size of Nigeria's economy increase by as much as 60 percent, taking it from $264 billion past South Africa's $384 billion.
But analysts cautioned against viewing the new figures as a sign of development, noting that South Africa was still way ahead in terms of GDP per capita, infrastructure and governance.
Although pockets of vast wealth exist, the last available World Bank figures from 2010 indicated that a staggering 84.5 percent of Nigeria's 170 million people lived on less than $2 a day.
Key services such as electricity and water provision remain notoriously poor.
"Nothing will really change in real time. It is not as if everyone is going to have twice as much salary" Chuba Ezekwesili, an analyst with the Nigeria Economic Summit group, told AFP.
"It (the rebasing) is really more cosmetic in nature.
But, we do think it will increase investment opportunity in Nigeria."
Dawie Roodt, chief economist at the South Africabased Efficient Group, added: "In term of infrastructure and strong monitoring systems, South Africa is still a giant, miles ahead of Nigeria."
United Nations statisticians recommend that countries rebase their gross domestic product calculations every five years to reflect changes in the structure of production and consumption.
But Nigeria has not recalculated GDP since 1990.
Africa's leading crude producer has enjoyed high rates of growth, notwithstanding widespread corruption, poor governance, rampant oil theft and a raging Islamist insurgency in the north.