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International Business News
Australia treasury chief warns of 'second shockwave1
AFP, Canberra
Australia's top Treasury official on Monday said there were grounds for optimism about the economy but warned a "second shockwave" may yet derail recovery from the global downturn.
Treasury Secretary Ken Henry said that while Australia had proved resilient and avoided sliding into recession, it was too early to say the crisis had passed.
"It docs appear as if the economy is behaving better than people were thinking late last year or early this year, " Henry told a business function.
"We’re not rushing to judgement on this just yet. We need to be somewhat careful in prematurely declaring the war is over."
Henry said the economy remained vulnerable to a second slump which, while not as big as the one that plunged the globe into crisis, could still curb growth.
"I have no reason to believe it'll be anything like the first shockwave in size and intensity -- it won't." he said.
"But there could be a second shockwave to hit us and that too could have implications for future growth. So 1 think we should be a little cautious. ”
Henry refused to speculate on whether the economy's better-than-expected performance would prompt the Treasury to revise its growth and unemployment forecasts, saying he was not taking a recovery for granted.
Philippines remittances hit new high
AFP, Manila
Filipinos working abroad sent home a record 1.5 billion dollars in June, the central bank said on Monday, boosting hopes the country can avoid a recession this year.
The June figure, up 3.3 percent year on year, takes the total sent back to the Philippines in the first half of the year to 8.5 billion dollars, the bank added in a statement, 2.9 percent up on the same point in 2008.
"The continued growth of remittance flows since January this year accompanied by emerging signs of improving global economic conditions have affirmed the positive outlook for steady remittances for 2009," central bank governor AmandoTetangco was quoted as saying.
He attributed the growth to "the sustained foreign demand for highly-skilled and professional Filipino workers," as well as the wider availability of financial services to send those funds back.
Total remittances in 2008 hit 16.4 billion dollars, a 13.7 percent increase on 2007.
The bank also forecast the deployment of Filipinos abroad would remain steady despite the global crisis, citing new employment arrangements" between the Philippines and Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Australia and South Korea. Eurozone trade surplus doubles in June
AFP, Brussels
The trade surplus for the 16 countries using the euro more than doubled in June, providing another positive sign for Europe's economy after France and Germany officially pulled out of recession.
The eurozone chalked up an external trade surplus of 4.6 billion euros (6.5 billion dollars) in June compared to a upwardly revised 2.1 billion euros in May, the EU's Eurostat data agency announced.
The eurozone surplus was the biggest seen for two years, before the global financial and economic crisis and resultant credit crunch took hold.
Eurozone trade figures returned to positive territory in March after almost a year at parity or in the red.
The 4.6 billion euro surplus compared very favourably with the figures in June 2008 when eurozone exports and imports were statistically equal.
For the 27-nation EU as a whole the recent status quo of a sizeable trade deficit continued, though the trend was sharply in the right direction.
The EU trade deficit stood at 4.3 billion euros in June, according to the preliminary estimate, compared with 7.2 billion euros in May and a massive 19.3 billion euros in June 2008.
Decline in Singapore exports slows down in July
At P, Singapore
Singapore said Monday its key exports shrank 8.5 percent in July from the year before but at a slower pace as hopes grew that the economy was emerging from a deep recession.
Non-oil domestic exports (NODX) dipped for the 15th consecutive month, but July's shrinkage was slower than the 11.1 percent decline in June and beat a 10 percent fall projected by analysts in a Dow Jones Newswires poll.
The news came after Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong said in his annual television address to the nation late Sunday that the economy was stabilising but cautioned it was not out of the woods yet.
"For the third quarter, it is not likely to have massive retrenchments. Beyond that, the situation is not clear and we need to be mentally prepared," he said.
He said in the long term he was optimistic, adding that although times ahead would still be tough "we can see some hope and some green shoots."