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News Analysis

India wary of being US card in China play

AFP, New Delhi
The US push to end India's status as a nuclear pariah was partly motivated by a desire to counter China's rise, but New Delhi does not want to get sucked into a US-Sino power play, analysts say.
"India does share many US concerns regarding China," said Anupam Srivastava, director at the Centre for International Trade and Security at the University of Georgia.
But New Delhi has conveyed "in very clear terms from the outset that it is not interested in being drawn into any such balance of power games in Asia or outside," Srivastava told AFP.
Washington spearheaded efforts that resulted this month in the Vienna-based Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) lifting a global ban on trade with India, despite New Delhi's refusal to sign the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).
The NSG waiver followed the striking of an India-US pact on civilian nuclear cooperation in 2005 between Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and US President George W Bush, which still requires Congressional approval.
The financial incentives are obvious, with the United States expecting to be rewarded with a major slice of India's civilian nuclear energy market - - estimated to be worth tens of billions of dollars.
But there are also geopolitical considerations.
Building India as a counterweight to China was "at least part of the motivation among some of the (US) decision-making circle," said Michael Quinlan from the Londonbased International Institute for Strategic Studies.
For decades, India had close relations with the former Soviet Union despite its official policy of non-alignment during the Cold War years.
But New Delhi recrafted its foreign policy after launching market reforms in 1991, focusing on improving ties with Washington — a process that culminated in the nuclear deal.
Former Indian diplomat K Shankar Bajpai said Washington's support for the pact and the NSG waiver had been lent with the expectation of exacting some leverage in return.
"Specifically, the US sees a strong India as an asset in a world in which China is the second world power," Bajpai said, while adding that India had its own firm ideas about the role it should play.
"One can accept American help in becoming strong without ganging up against China," he said.