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News Analysis

Exit unlikely to undo Pak militants

AP, Islamabad
The resignation of Pervez Musharraf removes a favorite bogeyman of Islamic militants both in and outside of Pakistan, but the government that forced him out is unlikely to change the policies that keep the jihadists fighting.
"It will take away a symbol of hatred but the essential issues don’t end with Musharraf." said Shafqat Mahmood, a former government minister and political analyst.
The outgoing Pakistani president who abandoned Pakistan's support of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan and sided with Washington after the Sept. 11 attacks has been largely sidelined since February elections brought his foes to power.
But the new civilian government has done surprisingly little to change his policies in the militant-infested northwest regions bordering Afghanistan and wants to retain close ties with the US, supporting the
international fight against Islamic extremism.
Mahmood said poverty, poor governance and anger at the US presence in Afghanistan combined to strengthen the proTaliban movement on both sides of the border.
Although suicide bombings overall have dropped since last year in Pakistan, the insurgent threat is as pervasive as ever.
"It's a virulent cancer that is eating into our society," said defense analyst Ikram Sehgal.
The coalition government's efforts to strike peace deals with militants are in tatters, and like Musharraf it is back to relying on the military to try to root out the extremists.
"I think they don't have any option," Rasul Bakhsh Rais, a politics professor at Lahore's University of Management Sciences. "The terrorists are not going to surrender. They have long-term objectives in the region."
Pakistani Taliban spokesman Maulvi Umar said Monday that
the Islamist movement was "happy" that Musharraf has resigned, but he called for an end to "his policies" mainly the use of the military.
"This is a positive change, but it is just the beginning," Umar said, promising, "If the government ends these policies, the Taliban will stop their activities immediately."
Militant attacks in various parts of the northwest are reported almost daily, and proTaliban insurgents have at times staged executions of people they claim are US spies.
In recent weeks, a massive military operation against insurgents in Bajur, a tribal region, has killed nearly 500 people, the government says, and displaced more than 200.000.
Other operations, such as in Khyber tribal agency, have also sought to emphasise government authority, but they have only spurred militant promises of revenge.
Meanwhile, officials say militant attacks across the border in
Afghanistan have surged because so many of the insurgents are finding refuge in Pakistan's tribal regions.
What Musharraf's departure could do is force the new government to focus on the Islamist threat, said analyst Talat Masood.
The ruling coalition's main parties have been distracted since they took power over how to deal with Musharraf as well as how to restore dozens of judges he fired last year.
Musharraf's own future home may depend on the militant threat against him. The outgoing president has already survived multiple assassination attempts and there is speculation that he may have to seek exile abroad for his own safety.
Umar said the militants were-n't simply happy with a Musharraf resignation.
"He should also be awarded strict punishment, because he is a culprit of the whole country,” Umar said.