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Deal or no deal?
Deal or no deal, the government will go to the polls without delay to get a trust vote from the people. However, it can safely be said that the landscape of coalition politics in India has changed for some time to come.
Moazzem Hossain
This piece was written during my flight from Delhi to Dhaka on July 20. While in Delhi for almost a week on a professional visit, it seemed that what happened to Indian politics since the G8 meeting in Japan was certainly quite extraordinary. Finally, the PM struck a deal with President Bush on the sideline of the G8 meeting on India's nuclear-deal with the US. At home, the nationalist right, BJP, and the communist left, CPI (M), had other ideas. They are determined to bring down the UPA government for the n-deal in a trust-vote in the Lok Sabha on July 22.
Since the last few weeks, both sides have been engaged in horse-trading. Deal or no deal, the government will go to the polls without delay to get a trust vote from the people. However, it can safely be said that the landscape of coalition politics in India has changed for some time to come. The whole trust-
vote saga on the nuclear deal has turned Indian politics upside down. Right going with the left, left going with the right, and the Congress throwing money right and left like monsoon rain, as if tax payers' money is there own.
Certainly, the CPI (M) has been spoiling the party for Congress. This is not the first time that CPI (M) has done this. Ten years back, they even spoiled their own party by not taking the opportunity to lead the government at the centre and making veteran communist leader Joyti Basu prime minister of India. It seems like the communists are not comfortable with governing in a multi-party democracy since Marx gave little direction in this regard. I may be wrong. However, this is the message that one gets from the communist regimes now.
Coming back to the trust-vote on the nuclear deal, the PM has made it clear that further development depended on nuclear energy. Why? India is not anymore a nation with a bullock-
cart economy. The Nehru-Mahalonobis approach of development does not exist anymore. Under the present global environment, it is impossible to turn the clock back. Since the economic reform initiatives by the then government of Rajiv Gandhi in early 1980s, the Indian economy has embraced well and truly the mantra of free-market and globalisation. It is incomprehensible that the circus led by CPI (M) may eventually pave the way (by default?) for the left to become a bed-fellow of the right anti-secular parties (BJP, RSS and Shiv Sena in mind).
There has been debate in Indian media about what the
CPI (M) will do, regardless of the outcome of the trust-vote, after the next general election, which is due next year? It is certain that the CPI (M) will not support the NDA led by BJP. It is possible that it will face the same music on the nuclear deal if NDA comes to power. Having said that, from a layman's perspective, the question is that if the n-deal with the US was not acceptable, would it be acceptable if a third country (for example Russia) came forward? At the end of the day, India's development stakeholders do not care whether the colour of power (energy) is red or blue.
Dr. Moazzem Hossain is a freelance contributor.