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Govt will win trust vote Says confident Indian PM

AFP, New Delhi
Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh predicted yesterday his government will survive a confi dence vote triggered by a controversial nuclear deal with Washington.
"We will prove our majority on the floor of the House," Singh told reporters outside the Lok Sabha, or parliament, which will start debating the motion on Monday.
Analysts and observers say the outcome of the vote, expected Tuesday, is too close to call.
The Indian parliament opened a special session Monday to discuss the confidence motion.
A loss for the Congress party-led alliance would plunge the world's largest democracy into early elections, and doom a deal aimed at bringing energy-hungry India into the fold of global nuclear energy commerce.
If every member of the 543-seat Lok Sabha casts a- ballotl^the gov1 ernment will need 272 votes to stay in office. If not, polls will take place latest by January.
Singh's Congress party, which is headed by Italian-born widow Sonia Gandhi, maintains it has the support of 290 deputies and that it can see through its last year in office.
But opposition parties — includ-
ing the left and the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) --are equally confident they can force national elections.
Earlier the Indian government was scouring for support Monday, trying to shore up its position a day before a no-confidence vote in parliament triggered by a contro-versial nuclear deal with Washington.
The government will collapse and early elections will be called if the coalition of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh loses on Tuesday, and experts say the vote in the 543-seat parliament is too close to call.
Singh's allies and the opposition have been batding to woo even tiny parties with just a handful of votes, with the outcome likely to be determined by only the smallest of margins.
The race is so tight, and the stakes are so high, that the government is letting six MPs serving jail ■terms'out to vote: Meanwhile the opposition is paying for charter flights to bring in ailing lawmakers.
"The vote will be a close thing, as the smaller parties who hold the key may not back the prime minister," said political analyst Mahesh Rangarajan. "One should not be surprised if the government falls by a few votes."
Singh stirred up popular anger
by signing a nuclear accord with the United States which his government insists is essential to meet the energy needs of India's fastgrowing economy and its one billion people.
India, which tested nuclear weapons in 1974 and 1998 and refuses to sign the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, is currently barred from buying nuclear technology and fuel.
The deal would allow such purchases but subject India's civilian nuclear sites under international controls -- which are aimed at ensuring that any purchases are not diverted for military uses.
But opponents say the deal would bring traditionally non-aligned India too close to the United States. If the government collapses, the nuclear accord would almost certainly be put on hold.
The deal was signed in 2005 but ■ has nd tht'err ratified because of rhe' uproar, and the opposition believes it can capitalise on that anger -- and frustration over the economy -- to win a general election.
If every member of parliament casts a ballot on Tuesday, the government will need 272 votes to survive. If it loses, polls will take place by January at the latest.