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Asia-Pacific exporters to be hit hard by US financial turmoil Says UN

AFP, Geneva
Economic growth in Asia Pacific's developing nations will fall slightly in 2008 to 7.7 percent, the UN said Thursday, but buoyed by booming India and China, it will likely weather a slowdown in the US.
The region is entering a phase of "heightened uncertainty", the United Nations report said, with export-led countries to be hardest hit by the ongoing financial turmoil in the United States.
"In the worst case scenario of a recession in the US and a deeper depreciation of the dollar, the impact in much of the region would be harsh.
"Most vulnerable will be the exporters of high-technology products, such as electronics, to the US: Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan," said the report outlining the economic and social situation for the region for 2008.
After a record GDP growth of 8.2 percent in 2007, global factors including high oil and food prices prices would take a toll in the region, the report by the UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) said.
Rich countries in the region including Japan, Australia and New Zealand
will see growth drop to 1.6 percent in 2008 from 2.0 percent in 2007, it said.
But China and India's economies would continue chugging along, offering opportunities to other export-led economies.
India is expected to maintain growth at 9.0 percent in 2008 while in China, government spending increases will spur domestic demand.
"China and India, the region's growth locomotives, are expected to grow at a robust pace, boosting growth in the region," said ESCAP's deputy executive secretary’ Shigeru Mochida.
"So far the Asia Pacific region has been resilient -- it is mainly due to the good and strong economic fundamentals," he told reporters at the Bangkok launch of their report.
Maintaining these fundamentals by moderating inflation and keeping budget deficits and interest rates low was key to weathering turmoil in the world’s largest economy, sparked by the housing crisis and credit crunch, he said.
Exporters would face a double whammy of a weakening dollar due to sharply lowered interest rates in the US, as well as slowing demand.