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War over Kashmir to bankrupt Pak govt

Clinton carrying a message of ’hard realities' for Gen Musharraf
JAIPUR. (India) Mar 24: US President Bill Clinton will tell military-ruled Pakistan it is "a country' that is in trouble" and should not waste its energy In a dangerous confrontation with nuclear neighbour India, reports AP.
Clinton will carry a message of "hard realities" for Pakistan's military ruler, said White House national security adviser Sandy Berger.
During a six-hour trip to Islamabad tomorrow. Clinton will tell Gen Pervez Musharraf his is "a country that is in trouble" and that' continuing to confront his nuclear neighbour in Kashmir could bankrupt his government, Berger suggested.
Musharraf, who seized
power in a bloodless coup Ln October, has yet to set a date for national elections. On Thursday. he announced local elections in 2001 that he said would pave the way for national elections.
The White House welcomed the announcement but said it wasn't enough.
"What we're looking for is a roadmap for national elections and a restoration of democracy in Pakistan," White House press secretary Joe Lockhart said.
Clinton is expected to call for a quick restoration of Pakistan's democracy and civilian rule, and to press Islamabad to roll back its nuclear programme and sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty.
Clinton made a similar appeal on the nuclear Issues In India. without much success. Nor was he likely to be successful in Islamabad.
Musharraf has said he will tell Clinton that "there can be no peace" in South Asia until India and Pakistan — both nuclear powers — resolve their dispute over the border region of Kashmir.
Winding up a five-day visit to India, Clinton will fly to Islamabad tomorrow. After meeting with Musharraf, the president Is to make a live television address to the people of Pakistan.
Clinton will tell the people of Pakistan that "we care about their future, that we don't want Pakistan Io fall."
The United States is concerned that Pakistan, emboldened by its longtime friendship with the United States, might escalate tensions with India to the point of conflict — believing that the United States and other world powers would step in and force a settlement of differences.
"It’s like giving a country a security umbrella." a senior administration official said, speaking on condition of anonymity. "That's not something we're going to do in this case.
If the United States is seen by Pakistan as a too willing peacemaker. "We increase the possibility of war rather than decrease the possibility of war." the official said at a dinner meeting with reporters at a resort where Clinton stayed.
US policymakers say Clinton will make clear to Musharraf that Pakistan cannot count on the United States to bail It ord, even though II was America's ally throughout the Cold War and helpcuin the struggle against Soviet forces in Afghanistan.
Pakistan wants the United
States to mediate the Kashmir conflict but India objects, saying bringing in outside help would reward terrorism. Clinton has urged Pakistan and India to reengage on their own and that there be restraint on both sides.
The United States holds out the hope that both Pakistan and India will sign the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty this year, although neither' side seems inclined to do so and the US Senate rejected the treaty.
Berger said Clinton would tell Pakistan that the United States is "worried about the future of Pakistan."
He said Pakistan, when tiie per capita income is equivalent to 44 1 dollar a year, has deep-seated economic and political problems, as well as the problem of terrorist groups operating out of Pakistan.
"And 1 think that in some way one of the great dangers in this region is the potential failure of Pakistan, Berger said. So the message the president will give in Pakistan is — you've got to decide what's important here in terms of your own future."
But he also said Clinton, particularly in his televised address, would remain Pakistan
of Its friendship with the United States.
"I don't think we can turn our back on the Pakistani people with whom we've had a very strong relationship." Berger said. "But it's a country that is in trouble and really needs to put all of its energy into self renewal and not territorial conflicts.
"They don’t have the luxury of that." Berger said.
Meanwhile. Pakistan's federal capital Islamabad was a city under siege today on the eve of Clinton's visit.
Soldiers stood guard on most street corners, low-flying army helicopters buzzed overhead and jeeps mounted with machine guns patrolled the tree-lined streets of the capital.
Along those roads on which Clinton’s cavalcade will travel soldiers combed the grass with
dogs sniffing for explosive devices. Nearby more troops roamed with hand-held mine-detecting machines.
There were no official figures for the number of soldiers recruited for Clinton's security, but unofficial figures say 5,000 troops and thousands more police nave been deployed.
Clinton's aircraft Is expected to touch down at the Islamabad International Airport at midday. Throughout nis five-hour visit here. Islamabad will be sealed.
On the eve of Clinton's visit, hundreds of Shiite Muslims defied a ban on demonstrations by protesting Clinton's visit. Waving banners and calling Clinton an "enemy of Islam.' some 400 men marched today through southern Karachi before they were dispersed peacefully by police, witnesses said.