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UF-Cong battle of nerves continues
NEW DELHI. Nov 22: India's seven-month-old minority coalition looked days away from collapse today as the bat tie of nerves with the party which keeps it in (government dragged on. reports Reuter.
After a frenzied week of brinkmanship and manoeuvring by the main parties to find allies for the formation of a new government or brace for a snap election, the drama's protagonists took a weekend breather to consider their next moves.
Prime Minister Inder Kumar Gujral said today that elections, not formally due until 2001, might be held within the next few months, according to the Press Trust of India (PTI).
"It may be that the next elections will take place as the country celebrates its 50th year of Independence," Gujral said in a speech in the eastern city of Calcutta. India s 5Oth year of independence ends next August.
"My strong feeling is that we are heading for dissolution and
early elections." said Mahesh Rangarajan, an analyst at the Centre for Contemporary Studies in New Delhi.
The crunch could come early next week in the Lower House of Parliament if the Congress Party puts forward a no-confidence motion against Gujral's 15-party United Front government or if he calls a confidence motion.
Parliamentary proceedings were blocked this week as Congress MPs. chanting slogans. demanded the removal of a southern regional party from the centre-left alliance.
Congress has threatened to withdraw its support for the alliance unless the Dravida Munnertra Kazagham (DMK), which has been named in a report on the 1991 assassination of former prime minister Rajiv Gandhi, is dropped.
The United Front, after two emergency meetings on Friday, decided to stand its ground.
The leader of the Communist Party of India (Marxist), which Is a member of the coalition, said today that general elections now looked inevitable.
"It does not appear possible at present that the Congress will climb down from its demand for removal of DMK ministers," PTI quoted general secretary Harkishan Singh Surieet as saying.
Analysts say none of the main parties including the Hindu nationalist Bharatiya
Janata Party (BJP) — the biggest in parliament, but still far short of a majority — has much of an appetite for elections. BJP is playing a wasting game.
The nationalists, who mat Indian President K R Narayanan on Wednesday, are expected to table a request to try to form a government if the Front falls.
The BJP, with 162 members In India’s 545-seat Lower House, compared to the United Front's 180 and Congress' 140, got their first taste of power after last year's hung elections.
But their government was ousted within a fortnight after it failed to prove a majority.
Congress, anxious to keep the BJP out of power, said on Friday it had no intention of plunging the country into another election, but was not afraid of going to the people if necessary.
Commentators say that
Congress, chafing at playing second fiddle to the government since its ignominious defeat in elections last year, appears divided over what to do now that the United Front has defied its ultimatum. ,
It could force a dissolution and seek to form a new coalition with United Front breakaway groups.
Analysts say the party has seized on the report on Rajiv Gandhi's killing to rekindle the spirit of the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty. which ruled for most of the period since 1947 and brought it huge support in the past.
Indeed, moves are a foot to put Gandhi's Italian-born and widely-admired widow. Sonia, at the head of the party.
India's last general elections took place over April and May last year. New polls would lead to the countrys fifth government within two years.