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Worries extend far beyond well-being of Mugabe
HARARE. Apr 5: When President Robert Mugabe's jet made an emergency landing last month in Ireland, worries extended far beyond the well-being of Zimbabwe's only leader since independence in 1980, reports AP.
The 73-year-old politician, visibly shaken, was whisked to safety through a barrage of wailing emergency vehicles at Shannon airport.
Back home, his compatriots wondered what would have happened If his Boeing 707. its nose wheel jammed and sparks spewing from one engine, had crashed and Mugabe had died.
Zimbabwe's much-traveled leader, credited with bringing reconciliation and peace to a nation once divided by civil
war, has no apparent heir.
While feted for engineering stability in Zimbabwe. Mugabe has kept his rule strong by exploiting tribal rivalries and enriching his ruling party.
A sudden leadership vacuum could plunge the country into confusion and chaos . and maybe violence.
Discontent simmers under the surface appearance of stability. and Mugabe's sudden death would pit his lieutenants against each other in a power struggle dependent on military backing, said John Mukumbe, a political scientist at the Zimbabwe university.
"The Machetes are literally being sharpened. When they start to swing. I expect it will be
very bloody." Mukumbe warned.
Mugabe has tried to groom successors, but in three cases ended up demoting heirs apparent he had promoted into the political mainstream.
Top contenders appear to be Emmerson Mnangagawa, the powerful Justice minister; Eddi-' son Zvogob, a US-trained lawyer who preceded Mnangagawa at the Justice Ministry; and Sidney Sekeramayi. the minister in charge of national security.
None ever have openly admitted presidential ambitions, and the ruling party's communist-style politburo dropped the succession issue from the agenda of a party convention last year.
'There’s an atmosphere of fear, and this is a sensitive matter," Mukumbe said. "So far. no one wants to stand up and be counted."
One reason is the autocratic style of Mugabe, who has ruled seemingly on personal whim in recent years. Laws pushed through parliament provide money and favored status for the governing Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front, while secret police harass opposition groups.
Despite rumors oi failing health, Mugabe last year easily won election to another five-year term and also married a woman about half his age. They are now expecting a child, their third.
Mugabe has surrounded himself with a Praetorian-like guard of security men and loyal aides, mostly from his own Zezuru ethnic group. His stern manner and frequent rebukes of colleagues about punctuality, drinking and personal habits have earned him few close confidantes outside his family
Bui he still commands unwavering party loyalty, due to the riches, government contracts and other* favors bestowed on party supporters.
Ibbo Mandaza. head of the Sapes Trust, a political and economic research Institute, said the lack of a significant political opposition to Mugabe and favour party leaders he al lows to get rich off government contractors "also means people
are not yet completely dissatisfied with the system."
After years of socialism and shortages, younger Zimbabweans enjoy recently acquired benefits of Western-style economic liberalisation, such as access to cars, electronic equipment, liquor and other Imported luxuries.
As long as I he middle class have got their whiskey and beer, they're not about to look for office, but of course that could change very quickly.” Mandaza said.
Joshua Nkomo. 78. once Mugabe s biggest challenger is out of the succession equation because of a dispute over a 50 million dollars cellular phone deal with the state telecommunications network.