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LDCs growth rate to stand double of rich states
WASHINGTON, Sept‘14 Industrialised "countries economies will grow nearly 3.0 per ccnl in 1993 while those of the Icss-dcvefopcd countries will expand at twice that rate, senior officials of the International Monetary Fund say, reports AFP.
The IMF officials, speaking on condition of anonymity, said there had been stew global recovery in 1992, bul predicted a progressive pick-up in 1992.
They cited four reasons for progressively accelerating growth: Low inflation in most industrialised countries: The lowest short-term interest rates tn 30 years: The liquidity crisis in the United Slates is headed toward resolution: And strong prospects for growth among the developing countries.
For developing countries, the IMF anticipates growth
rates of 6.0 per ccnl in 1993. up from 5.0 per ccnl tn 1992.
Two elements temper Ihc optimism of the senior IMF officials — Ihc high long-tcnn Interest rates and the crisis of confidence that persists in the industrialised countries.
On the subject of the United States, one official said, "We agree with what the Fed (federal Reserve) has done." bul that the IMF recommended "Prudence" in any additional lowering of interest rales.
"Wc don't see whal good a further decrease could do while we see the risks il could entail for the slability of ihc market." the official said.
Concerning the budget deficit, these officials argued that the United Slates had missed an opportunity when it failed to deal with the problem at the end of the 198Os at a
time of strong US economic growth.
"An important adjustment, no less than four points of GNP, has to be done rapidly." one official said, recommending that the United Slates not only cut spending but also raise more revenues.
On Germany, which an IMF team has Just visited, the officials said “a major fiscal effort to alleviate the burden of monetary policy? was needed. Including tax Increases.
Moreover. Germany had lo cfB<^cnt)y address the problem of cosily subsidies lo outdated industries, the officials said.
They said Italy was headed for trouble if it did not get Its public sector deficit tn line.
The European Community as a whole ihcy said, should make a "major effort lo introduce more flexibility in the labour market."