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Stock investors face some world size question marks
NEW YORK, June 27: Investors In the stock market are faced with some world-sized question marks as they consider the outlook for the rest of 1992, reports AP.
U.S stocks have turned in a poor showing over the past few weeks. But their losses have been minor compared to the drops suffered in such overseas markets as Japan's and Mexico's.
European markets also have been unsettled by some bumps In the road toward monetary union.
This chain of events has left analysts debating whether Wall Street's prospects are significantly hurt by woes In other financial capitals.
"All of these markets are correcting together at the moment, but the fundamentals are different ." observed David Roche at Morgan Stanley and Co. "I believe that the strngest theme in international equity market Investment over the next year will be the decoupling of markets.''
Still, many analysts say the progress of economic recovery In the United States may well be hindered by sluggish eco-
nomic conditions in the nation's Important export markets.
"I believe investors will spend most of this summer, if not all of it. digesting what the world economic environment really Implies for growth rates of U.S industries and companies." says Greg Smith at Prudential Securities in a current market commentary
An objective look at the outlook for other developed countries doesn't offer much en couragement for this year."
Furthermore, many ob-servess still wonder how the U.S market can escape any significant fallout from the slide that has swept Japanese stocks lower by about 60 per cent over the pat two and half years, to their lowest level since 1986.
"Stock market weakness' of recent days In the U.S I* In part related to the ongoing stumbling of the Japanese market," says Jeff Thredgold. chief economist at the bank holding company keycrop.
“The uniform softness in stock markets around the world is one more testament
to the reality that in the world today we have one enormous global financial market made up of smaller markets."
Or as analysts at Wright Investors' Service In Bridgeport. Conn, see the situation: " Recent weakness in the U.S stock market stems more from high stock prices and investor disappointment with the pace of the economic recovery than from the sell off in Tokyo.
"Nonetheless, the free-fall in Japanese stock prices represents one more reason for equity investors to be cautious today."
They were certainly cautious over the past week, leaving the market to drift without a single session In which the Dow Jones industrial average rose or fell by as much as seven points.
The widely recognize averaged of 30 blue chips closed Friday at 3,282.41, down 2.94 points from the week before.
Elsewhere, the Nasdaq Composite Index for the over-the counter market fell 6.32 tc 547.88. and the American Stock Exchange market Value Index lost 0.35 to 374.04.
In case of Mexico, where the soaring market suddenly hit an 18 per cent downdraft In June, many analysts make a connection to the U.S election campaign.
They say Mexican stocks have been battered by talk, among other things, that Ross Perot would oppose a new North American trade agreement should he be elected president of the United States.
This came as a "convenient excuse for a sell off in a longtime outperforming market which has acted toppy since February and has become Increasingly popular among inexperienced International investors, " said Gerald Rothstein, an analyst at Oppenheimer and Co.
"The Mexican market may be bloody but the economy is unbowed." Rothstein asserted.
The economic story Is that of a country which Is a few years into a turn from being dominated by a central government running huge deficits and controlling companies and prices to one with a government surplus, privatization, deregulation and large currency reserves."