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Saudi-Iran tussle over oil output this week
BRUSSELS (Belgium). May 18 : Saudi Arabia vs Iran: OPEC's main sparring partners will have a return bout this week when the 13-nation oil cartel negotiates Its pricing and production guidelines for the summer, reports AP.
Saudi Arabia, the world s No 1 crude exporter, will no doubt push for increased oil pumping.
Iran, anxious to get more money for Its crude, will lust as surely resist any move for a big Jump in production
The giant producers will be the main antagonists at the midyear conference of ministers of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries opening Thursday in Vienna. Austria.
After hard bargaining, analysts and some OPEC delegates predicted, the cartel would agree to raise its oil production ceiling by about a million barrels a day to 24 million barrels a day in the July-September period.
There Is no incentive al all to cut production." said Pierre Terzi an. editor of the Paris-based newslatter Petrostrategies.
Prices recently have been firmer than expected, lifted partly by market Jitters about a possible oil embargo against Libya.
The average price of an OPEC marker was 18.45 dollar a barrel last week, the highest so far this year but still under the group's 21 dollar target.
Prices for light sweet crudes in the United States and Europe generally run several dollar a barrel higher.
An increase of about a million barrels a day in the output ceiling would be counted as a victory for Saud! Arabia
They (the Saudis) have so much strength that they can make or break the market in the end. and no one else can."
said Peter Bogin, associate dt rector for oil markets at Cambridge Energy Research Associates in Parts.
The kingdom's output is currently estimated at about 8 million barrels a day. down from 8 5 million barrels a day earlier In the year Iran's is pegged at 3.1 million to 3.3 million barrels a day,
Saudi Arabia tends to favour more modest crude prices so the cartel can hold onto Its share of the world oil market., High prices attract producers from outside the group
Iran, backed by Algeria and others, generally fights for higher prices by limiting oil output
At a meeting late last month, the cartel agreed to hold Ils supply cap at 22.98 million barrels a day In May and June to prevent a price plunge Demand for crude normally falls In spring
But analysts doubt the producers have curtailed pumping to that level The International Energy Agency estimated output last month at 23.5 million barrels a day.
Sales of OPEC oil generally Increase In the summer, the peak automobile driving season. Also, stronger economic growth projected for the United States would translate into greater demand for crude. Bogin estimated demand for OPEC oil at 24.4 million barrels a day in the July-September quarter.
Question marks hang over future production by Libya and Iraq, both crippled by Internationa] sanctions.
The United Nations Security Council last month Imposed a series of measures, including a ban on air traffic, to try to get Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi to turn over two suspects in the bombing of Fan Am Flight 103.