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'Japan's recovery to begin from autumn'
HONG KONG May 5 : Japan s economy will recover starting from this autumn. Finance Minister Tsutomu Hala said, reports Reuter
"We believe the Japanese economy will recover from this autumn.' he told reporter*
Hata said the Japanese economy was tn, a readjust merit phase, but if tills phase continues the economy could cool
This would make it hard for Japan lo carry out its respon slbilitles for the world economy In terms of providing funds for developing countries, Hata said.
Because of these concerns, Japan has increased Ite public work* spending In the first
half of this year and has cut the discount rate to 3.75 per cent to stimulate the economy, he said
Another despatch adds: Japan's current economic downturn Is unlikely to affect the growth rate of its Aslan neighbours. the Aslan Development Bank's top economist told here
Malcolm Dowling. Director of the ADB Economics and Development Resource Centre, said there Is enough Japanese investment in the pipeline to sec the rest of Asia through what he expects will be a relatively brief slowdown in Japan.
"The impact is not going to be that profound." he said. "It doesn't mean that much."
According to ADB forecasts, Japan's economy is expected to grow at a 2-5 per cent rate tn calendar 1992, against more than 4.5 per cent in the hey days of the late 1980's.
Dowling said many Asian nations were in (act having trou ble coping with the high volume of Japanese investment in recent years, and projects already decided on would continue to supply ample funds to ensure healthy Aslan growth.
ADB forecasts show Asia growing at 6.5 per cent this year and 6.7 per cent in 1993. Asian economic growth was 5.8 per cent in 1991, he said.
Although Japan's domestic demand has slowed sharply over the Last year and a half.
imports of Asian goods Into Japan were never very strong to begin with, he added.
Dowling said Asian countries do not have much to fear from Tokyo* willingness to strike bilateral trade deals to quieten criticism of its bungling trade surplus.
In January, during a visit by US President George Bush to Tokyo. Japanese auto makers said they would greatly expand their buying of American autoparts in the years ahead.
Australian officials have since expressed concern the deal could make Japan a tougher market to crack for Other nations.
That was a pressure deal and won't likely be repeated," said Dowling.