& çâÌæÚUæð´ ·¤è ¥ôÚU Îð¹Ùæ ÁæÚUè ÚU¹ð´ ¥ÍæüÌ ¥ÂÙð ÜÿØ ÂÚU ŠØæÙ ÚU¹ð´Ð ãæÚU Ù ×æÙð´, €UØô´ç·¤ ·¤æ× ·¤ÚUÙð âð ¥æÂ·¤ô ©gðàØ ·¤è Âýæç# ãôÌè ãñ ¥õÚU ÁèßÙ ·¤æ ¹æÜèÂÙ ÎêÚU ãôÌæ ãñÐ ÖÜð ãè ÁèßÙ ×ð´ ç·¤ÌÙè Öè ·¤çÆÙæ§ü €UØô´ Ù ¥æ°, çÁ™ææâæ ¥õÚU ©ˆâæã ÕÙæ° ÚU¹ð´Ð ŠØæÙ ÚU¹ð´, ÜÿØ ã×ðàææ ¥æÂ·Ô¤ Âæâ ãôÌð ãñ´ çÁ‹ãð´ ÂæÙð ·Ô¤ çÜ° ÂýØæâ ¥æÂ ·¤Öè Öè àæéM¤ ·¤ÚU â·¤Ìð ãñ´Ð

Damage to infrastructures not estimated

BIDS puts loss at Tk 2309 cr

By Shdhiduzzaman Khan
The Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS) has computed the loss to food-grains. fisheries, livestock, housing and industrial sectors In the cyclone affected areas at Tk. 2309 crore.
The BIDS estimate did not show the extent of damage to Infrastructures such as school buildings, health clinics, flood protection embankments, ships and aircraft — which is colossal.
Sector-wise breakup of the total loss, as the survey report says:' foodgrains — Tk 330 crotb, fisheries — Tk 106 crore, livestock — Tk 163 crore, housing — Tk 254 crore and industry —Tk 1456 crore.
The survey, compiled on the basis of available information from censuses and studies
carried out earlier, was conducted by BIDS Director General Dr Mahbub Hossain.
The survey says, the directly hit areas are the coastal Islands from Monpura in Bhola district in the west to Sandwtp In the north to Maheshkhali In the south. The mainland upazilas along the coast in K:ater Chittagong district m Sitakund to Cox a Bazar were also severely affected. The area comprised 1 I upazilas of the affected districts.
According to 1981 population census, the survey says, the area contained 2 13m people tn 350.000 households. Assuming a population growth of 2.5 per cent per year, these upazilas had a population of 2.8m before the cyclone. which is about 2.5 per cent of the total population tn the country. If the death toll Is around two lakh, then 8 per cent of the population In the area has perished, the study
According to the 1983 84 agricultural census, th* directly hit upazilas had a net cropped land of 298.000 acres cultivated with an Inten stty of 180 per cent The study says rice accounts for nearly 88 per cent of the cropped area At the time of the cy-ctone. the boro crop was being harvested and the seeds of the aus and deep water broadcast aman had been sown.
Boro ts however not an Important crop except In Anwara. Chokoria and Cox s Bazar upazilas
The total rice production for the area in 1989-90 Is estimated al 307.000 tons, of which aman accounts for 63 pc. aus 13 pc and boro 24 pc.
The damage account of standing crops amounts to 115.000 tons of foodgrains.
The survey says the stocks of aman harvest kept for household consumption till the next harvest have also been washed away.
The loss to standing crops in the adjacent upazilas. hit by strong wind and tidal surge, should also be added A generous estimate of 3.45.000 tons of the crops is valued at Tk 330 crore which Is 1.8 per cent of the national production.
The directly hit upazilas had a cattle population of 490.000. goat population of 328.000 and poultry population of 490.000. The value of the stock al current prices ts estimated at Tk 204 crore.
The survey says a reconnaissance trip in parts of the affected area has Indicated a damage ratio of 80 pc which mean a loss of Tk 163 crore on this account.
According to Bureau of Statistics. Bangladesh has about 2.3 lakh acres of land under shrimp farming tn coastal areas.
The farms have been badly damaged. The total fish production for the affected area is estimated at- 43.000 tons and the loss is estimated at Tk 106 crore.
The survey says the 1981 housing census gives a figure erf 216.000 kutcha and 2 lakh semi-pucca houses in the directly hit areas. The estimates for the adjacent upazilas are 420 and 220 thousand respectively
On the assumption of 100 pc damage to kutcha and 80 pc to semi-pucca houses Tk 174 crore losses were estimated in the directly hit upazilas.
A damage ratio of 50 pc for kutcha and 20 pc for semi-pucca houses in adjacent upazilas gives an estimate of loss of Tk 82 crore, the survey says
Dr Mahbub Hossain, citing the 1986 economic census of the Industrial units and em ploymcnls in the affected districts. said that applying a growth rate of 6 per cent per yvai ivt me nnmii ami ••
pc for large scale units, an estimated 19.900 factories are located tn Chittagong and Cox's Bazar districts providing cm ployment to 2.7 lakh workers
On the basts of parameters obtained from the census of manufacturing, value added estimate per worker was made at Tk 25.000 per year for small scale units and Tk 64.000 for large scale units.
This gives an estimate of Industrial value added at Tkl428 crore in Chittagong and Cox's Bazar districts.
The survey says, on the assumption of a capital-output ratio of 2.5 for small scale units and 5.0 for large units, the capital stock is estimated at Tk 6660 crore.
A preliminary assessment by Chambers of Commerce and Industry of damage to industrial assets and stocks of raw materials and finished goods put the loss at Tk 1581 crore
This includes Tk 500 crore for garments. Tk 400 crore for frozen food and Tk 210 crore for public sector industries. The estimate of loss to frozen food Includes income from shrimp culture.
The survey says, if the damage to structures in shrimp farms, hatcheries, nurseries, stocks of processed shrimps for exports, and trawlers and boats for marine fisheries are taken into consideration, the estimate comes down to Tk 275 crore. Adjusting to this difference, the loss to Industries comes down to Tk 1456 crore.