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Gulf tides favourable for Allied offensive
WASHINGTON, Feb 19 : The Gulf Udes are right for an amphibious landing. The next few nights are moonless — well-suited to heighten the Allied advantage over Iraq In high-tech night-fighUng gear, reports Reuter.
US and Allied forces are said to be as ready as they ever will be to launch what could be the largest land battle since World War Two.
And some experts say they could lose their edge If the offensive were delayed for a week or more because favourable weather will have eroded by then.
But Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev added a new twist on Monday that could affect whether and when the troops are ordered into acUon — an element that may be irksome to President George Bush.
With US-led forces poised to attack Iraqi troops in Kuwait. Gorbachev gave new proposals to Iraqi Foreign Minister Tareq Aziz to head off the looming ground war. Details were not immediately disclosed. but a Soviet Spokesman said Moscow expected a "reply without delay."
The White House quickly made clear on Monday that its hopes for forcing Iraq from Kuwait rested on war — and that ft was doubtful the Soviet Peace Plan would avert the ground phase.
"All of our hopes at this point arc on the conflict — in the air and on the ground in terms of pushing Iraq out of Kuwait." spokesman Marlin Fitzwater said In Kennebunkport. Maine, where Bush was spending a holiday weekend.
Asked whether the timing of a land offensive might be delayed to see where the Soviet Plan leads", Fitzwater said : "1 wouldn't make any assumptions'.
The Gorbachev proposal left Bush with a series of delicate prblems. One of these Is avoid-. Ing an appearance of rushing into a potentially bloody battle when a diplomatic option was available.
Against this and other considerations. including concern for Soviet support. Bush must balance a host of military and strategic considerations.
One is that the US and Allied troops, who have been streaming north towards the Saudi-Kuwait border in recent days, could be Jarred and left off balance by the delay.
Donald Rumsfeld. US Defence Secretary from 1975 to 1977. said it was very difficult to maintain a stage of top readiness Indefinitely.
"You can lean forward in the trench only so long, and at some point you have cither have to go forward or ease back somewhat." he said in an Interview on Cable News Network.
Bush also may want the land battle sootier rather than later to avoid an outcome that might leave President Saddam Hussein in power, with the potential to rebuild his forces in a matter of years.
Though Saddam's ouster is not one of Bush's suppermosl declared goals, the adminis tration's strategy would not be entirely fulfilled if he managed to stay on. US officials and lawmakers have acknowledged.
T would say that there Is a very strong feeling that Saddam Hussein's leadership is going to make it very, very dif ncult to negotiate or to see safety in the Middle East fol lowing this war" said Senator Richard Lugar of Indlnana. a member of the Foreign Relations committee.
Allied Commanders said last Friday they were close to a key objective, destruction of half of Saddam’s front-line armour. That would pave the way for Allied battle plans emphasising speed, maneuvering ability and high-technology weapons.