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US may take on Iran's nukes next: Expert

AFP, Tokyo
The United States is likely to turn its focus on Iran's suspected nuclear weapons programme once it finishes the ongoing war against Iraq, a symposium on non-proliferation heard Tuesday.
"Once the war with Iraq is over ... the United States will likely turn its focus to halting Iran's (uranium) enrichment programme while Iran still seems to be a few years away from achieving a breakout capability," said Gary Samore, a director of the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).
"Despite (Iran's) assurances, it seems more likely that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons option under cover of its civilian nuclear power programme," he said.
The comment came at a one-day symposium hosted by the United Nations University and the Japanese Ministry of Foreign Affairs which was attended by around 50 experts and university academics.
The meeting was organised as the issue of weapons of mass destruction triggered the ongoing US-led war in Iraq last while nuclear programmes in North Korea pose a threat in East Asia.
Iran's current programme is allowed under the nuclear NonProliferation Treaty (NPT). But it "represents an acceptable proliferation
risk and should be halted," Samore said.
"Although disagreement over Iraq is likely to obstruct development of a common policy towards Iran, the need to deal with Iran's nuclear programme may provide an issue to help restore co-operation among the leading powers," he said.
Some scholars said it was only a matter of time before Iran realises its nuclear ambitions because it sees examples of other regional states, such as Israel, India and Pakistan, having nuclear programmes.
The possession of nuclear weapons by any state is a "constant stimulus" to other states also to acquire them, said Olli Heinonen, division director in the safeguard department of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).
To improve the international community's checks and balances of nuclear weapons programmes, countries should be able to request other nations to clarify any "ambiguous situations" surrounding their nuclear programmes, Heinonen added.
New tools or regimes of weapons inspections may be needed because, so far, official inspections by international bodies, including the IAEA, have failed to detect nuclear weapons programmes secretly run by many nations, said Akifumi Ikeda, professor of international security at Toyo-Eiwa University.